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Re: Dingbat Retirement Plan

Posted by Gary - CA on November 06, 2001 at 1:54 PM

In Reply to: Dingbat Retirement Plan posted by Jeeti Puri on November 05, 2001 at 4:41 PM

: Prof. Ward :

: Thx much for your wisdom, time, patience and education. It is appreciated. You are clearly a very learned person in this speciality.

: I am based in West Palm Beach, FL.. 'Was thinking of buying 2 bedroom fixer-upper condos, attached homes, or SFRs for renting out after fixing. Unfortunately the economics looks like this :

: Purchase Price = $ 60,000
: Fix-Up Cost = $ 20,000

: Cost of financing $ 80,000 @ 7.5 % = $ 500 / Month
: Property Tax @ 2.xx % = $ 135 / Month
: Insurance including Hurricanes = $ 50 / Month
: Repairs - approximated = $ 50 / Month

: TOTAL Monthly Cost = $ 735 / Month
: Rent assuming 15 days Vacancy / Yr = $ 735 / Month

: Without even considering all the many risks associated with renting, ownership, etc. inherent in this business, the investment will yield ZERO return. Future rent increase expectations are minimal - maybe 0-2 % / year at best, given the demand and supply of such condos / SFRs expected in the future.

: Therefore the only reason to invest will be to gamble on future price increases. Such condos/homes have essentially gone nowhere in price in the past 20 years. Matter-of-fact many have gone down in price, despite the past 2 years where there was some upward momentum in prices !!

: ONE bedroom fixer-upper condos can be gotten for $ 20-40,000 in cheaper less-desirable neighborhoods. But their economics works out the same as above - lesser cost and lesser rents, with ZERO return.

: Please could you kindly advise if this business plan can somehow be worked out to yield meaningfully positive returns comparable to the underlying risks in this business.

: Thanks much for your advice and time. It is sincerely appreciated.

:

Jeeti,

I like your strategy of purchasing rentals in Florida. Florida
is a state that has experienced near double-digit growth in several
areas last year (like Tampa Bay and Jacksonville). However, $20k
to acquire a rental is too much. Purchasing VA repos in Florida
requires only $1k down (yes, even for investors). I have participated
in this for years with total cash out less than $12k including
fix-up costs. These properties even gave me positive cash flow
after taxes.

Gary


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