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Dingbat Retirement Plan

Posted by Jeeti Puri on November 05, 2001 at 4:41 PM

Prof. Ward :

Thx much for your wisdom, time, patience and education. It is appreciated. You are clearly a very learned person in this speciality.

I am based in West Palm Beach, FL.. 'Was thinking of buying 2 bedroom fixer-upper condos, attached homes, or SFRs for renting out after fixing. Unfortunately the economics looks like this :

Purchase Price = $ 60,000
Fix-Up Cost = $ 20,000

Cost of financing $ 80,000 @ 7.5 % = $ 500 / Month
Property Tax @ 2.xx % = $ 135 / Month
Insurance including Hurricanes = $ 50 / Month
Repairs - approximated = $ 50 / Month

TOTAL Monthly Cost = $ 735 / Month
Rent assuming 15 days Vacancy / Yr = $ 735 / Month

Without even considering all the many risks associated with renting, ownership, etc. inherent in this business, the investment will yield ZERO return. Future rent increase expectations are minimal - maybe 0-2 % / year at best, given the demand and supply of such condos / SFRs expected in the future.

Therefore the only reason to invest will be to gamble on future price increases. Such condos/homes have essentially gone nowhere in price in the past 20 years. Matter-of-fact many have gone down in price, despite the past 2 years where there was some upward momentum in prices !!

ONE bedroom fixer-upper condos can be gotten for $ 20-40,000 in cheaper less-desirable neighborhoods. But their economics works out the same as above - lesser cost and lesser rents, with ZERO return.

Please could you kindly advise if this business plan can somehow be worked out to yield meaningfully positive returns comparable to the underlying risks in this business.

Thanks much for your advice and time. It is sincerely appreciated.



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