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Re: Deal analysis

Posted by Gary on May 15, 2003 at 8:19 PM

In Reply to: Re: Deal analysis posted by Ernie on May 10, 2003 at 8:33 AM

Ernie:

I'd get the guy to flip it to me for the $10k (or less) and then I'd use investor money and pay that investor a percentage (see private or hard money). Let's say it costs you 6 pts & 15% interest. You need to borrow to pay off the 2nd, rehab, taxes and holding costs ($28k from Ward's calc). Since that will take you over the 70% LTV that money guys will max out at or $140k. With a 1st of $120k, you can borrow up to $140k or $20k. Pay the rest from your HELOC ($8k).

Let's check it out:

1. Balance of the remaining 1st = 120,000
2. Payment of arrearage on 1st = 2,000
3. Payoff of the existing 2nd = 15,000
4. Probable delinquent property taxes = $2,000
5. Guestimate on rehabbing costs @ 5% of resale value = $5,000
6. Turnaround time of 6 months X 800 monthly payment on 1st = $4,800
7. Contribution towards your resale buyer's closing costs = $2,000
8. Resale commission of 6% = $12,000
9. Your resale transactional expenses (title, termite, etc.) = $4,000

Profit:

$200,000 sale

less

$10,000 seller/flipper
$166,800 costs of items 1-9 above
$2,700 private money (pts + 6 mo. interest at 15% on $20k)
$200 5% interest on $8k (HELOC)

Unless I'm missing something, that's a profit of $20,300. Not bad for $8k out of your HELOC.

Now, who else profits?
Agent = $12,000
Seller/Flipper = $10,000
Private Investor = $2,700
You = $20,000

Now there's extra profit in there if you're willing. For example:

1) Use discount broker that will list for $300 and pay buyer's agent 3%...savings = $6,000
2) Use your HELOC instead of private money....savings = $2,200.
3) Sell in 3 months instead of 6 if it's a decent seller's market...savings=3 mos of holding costs.

Bottom line, I'd do it and crank the profit up to $25 - $30k. That's a pretty good return on your investment. Just make sure you do your due diligence, especially since you are new to the neighborhood. Best of luck.

Gary

: Ward,

: Thank you very much for your help. You gave me many things to
: think about which a newbie like me doesn't know. The deal
: is now not looking nearly as good as I originally
: thought. I really appreciate your assistance.

: Ernie



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