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Re: A JBB Deal... to do or not to do...

Posted by Ward-CA- on December 23, 2001 at 6:28 AM

In Reply to: A JBB Deal... to do or not to do... posted by Alfred -- CA on December 19, 2001 at 12:44 AM

: Ward,
: I have a prospective JBB deal. The property's FMV is 175K. It has a 119.4K remaining balance on the 1st, and a 22.4K remaining balance on the 2nd. No BK going on and no other liens, so total encumbrances = 141.8 K. The OGE is 33K. I think that I can buy the 2nd for around 45% of it's value (9.5K). It would cost another 10K if I had to reinstate the 1st to stop their trustee sale. The property is not in a highly appreciating area and it is in a middle class/blue collar neighborhood. It's in ok shape.
: My concern is that if I purchased the 2nd and foreclosed, the property might come back to me based on the fact that bidders will only bid it up to 140K (80% of the FMV). The existing encumbrances plus related foreclosure expenses would exceed 140K.
: So, it would be a good deal if I got the note for 9.5K and the trustor sold or refinanced and cashed me out at full value. But it could be trouble and I could lose money if the house came back to me and I had to rehab and sell it. (If I add up the cost of the note; the advance; holding time, rehab costs; sales costs; etc. it would be hard to sell at a profit.)
: I'm hesitant to follow through on this deal because of this possibility. I'd like your feed back on it. Is there an outpoint in my thinking or do you agree that it would be risky? Thanks in advance kind sir.

=•=•=•=•=•=•=•=•=•=•=•=

Alfred, sorry about the delay. I read your post just before leaving the house and was going to come back to answer it at the office. But you know the old story, out of sight, out of mind. Anyhow, let’s take a look now....

Right now the real estate market is cooling off, especially in certain areas and at certain price levels. For example, here in San Diego we have a Buyer’s market (more than 91 days average marketing time) for properties higher than $200K sales price. But less than that price the market is a hot Seller’s market (0 to 60 days average marketing time) especially anything close in, such as the downtown area.

So if I were you I’d run an MLS marketing time survey up to $200K for the same area your target property is located and see if it’s in a Seller’s market. If your average marketing time came out to be quite low, like 30 days, then yes I’d consider it. Christmas holidays will be over in a week and people will start to return to the market. But if the marketing time is protracted then I’d pass on the deal.


Hope this helps.


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